Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 16 Nov 2025

Wellington Phoenix (K)
1-1 HT 1-1
Newcastle Jets (K)
📅16/11/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
53%
+5.6pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.6pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v Newcastle Jets (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.03/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.49
+10% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
24.2 Crosses 18.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.92 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
273 Passes 226
70% Pass Accuracy 65%
23 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.01.2025 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 3-2 HT 0-2 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
04.02.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-2 HT 1-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1-1
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.15 xG 1.41
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
256 Passes 232
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) and Newcastle Jets (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Wellington Phoenix (K) carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 51% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 49%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.15 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wellington Phoenix (K) and 2.00 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 59%, draw 20%, Newcastle Jets (K) 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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