Shatin SA 4-0 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 29%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.53/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.94
-25% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
307 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Citizen AA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-3 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
17.11.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 5-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
19.05.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 2-5 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
10.12.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-1 HT 0-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
18.12.2022 Shatin SA Shatin SA 2-1 HT 2-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
17.10.2021 Shatin SA Shatin SA 2-1 HT 2-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shatin SA
4-0
AWAY Citizen AA
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA cruised past Citizen AA 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shatin SA as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Shatin SA had 59% of the ball to Citizen AA's 41%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shatin SA had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shatin SA and 2.17 for Citizen AA.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Citizen AA?

Shatin SA 4-0 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 50%, draw 20%, Citizen AA 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shatin SA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
16 Nov 2025
08:30 Yuen Long vs Lucky Mile Analysis →
08:30 Central & Western vs Tung Sing Analysis →
08:30 Hoi King vs South China Analysis →
08:30 3 Sing vs WSE Analysis →
10:30 Kwun Tong vs Sham Shui Po Analysis →
10:30 Metro Gallery vs Resources Capital FC Analysis →