Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 42%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.22/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.56
-5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses 27.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
0W-1D-0L
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 9
296 Passes 463
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.05.2025 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Azul Claro Numazu
1-2
AWAY ThespaKusatsu Gunma
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
437 Passes 383
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Azul Claro Numazu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ThespaKusatsu Gunma nicked a narrow win over Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; ThespaKusatsu Gunma found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Azul Claro Numazu had 54% of the ball to ThespaKusatsu Gunma's 46%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Azul Claro Numazu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Azul Claro Numazu 1-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma in the Japan - J3 League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Azul Claro Numazu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Azul Claro Numazu 39%, draw 22%, ThespaKusatsu Gunma 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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