Gainare Tottori 3-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.88
No
42%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.3pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.37/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.20
+13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.5 Crosses 13.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainare Tottori
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 1-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
06.07.2024 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 1-2 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
02.06.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 HT 1-0 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
29.07.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-3 HT 0-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
17.06.2023 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 0-1 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
23.10.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-3 HT 2-1 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
3-2
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
215 Passes 377
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori nicked a narrow win over Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Giravanz Kitakyushu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 38% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 62%, shots finished 5-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gainare Tottori and 1.33 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Gainare Tottori 3-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 33%, draw 25%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Giravanz Kitakyushu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
16 Nov 2025
08:00 Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Sagamihara vs Ryukyu Analysis →
08:00 Kamatamare Sanuki vs Kagoshima United Analysis →
08:00 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Tochigi SC Analysis →
08:00 Azul Claro Numazu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Analysis →
08:00 Fukushima United vs Nara Club Analysis →