Sagamihara 4-1 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.23/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.26
-19% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.2 Crosses 13.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
315 Passes 402
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-0 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
12.10.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
17.03.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
26.08.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-4 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
28.05.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
11.07.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
4-1
AWAY Ryukyu
37% Ball Possession 63%
19 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
223 Passes 469
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Sagamihara vs Ryukyu
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sagamihara ran out comfortable winners over Ryukyu 4-1 in the Japan - J3 League on 16 Nov 2025. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 37% of the ball to Ryukyu's 63%, shots finished 19-8.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sagamihara and 0.67 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Ryukyu?

Sagamihara 4-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 45%, draw 25%, Ryukyu 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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