Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 16 Dec 2025

📅16/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
12%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
2.39/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.76
+68% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.01.2025 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
21.09.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
3-2
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers edged past Weston-super-Mare 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 53%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 2.00 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare?

Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 46%, draw 24%, Weston-super-Mare 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
16 Dec 2025
22:45 Scarborough Athletic vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
22:45 Bedford Town vs Macclesfield Analysis →
22:45 Alfreton Town vs Southport Analysis →
22:45 South Shields vs Peterborough Sports Analysis →
22:45 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Slough Town Analysis →