Alfreton Town vs Southport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Southport — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Southport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Southport
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
4-0
HT 3-0
Southport
İCON
Alfreton Town 1-1 Southport — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town and Southport shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 50% of the ball to Southport's 50%, shots finished 11-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.33 for Southport.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Southport?
Alfreton Town 1-1 Southport in the England - Conference on 16/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Southport?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 38%, draw 29%, Southport 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alfreton Town), BTTS No went the other way.