Dorking Wanderers 1-3 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
6%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 31% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
2.01/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.71
+14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.09.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1-3
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare saw off Dorking Wanderers 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 60% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 40%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare?

Dorking Wanderers 1-3 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 48%, draw 28%, Weston-super-Mare 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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