Welling United 0-1 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
57%
Away Win
59%
-2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 62%
+21% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.15/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.98
+125% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
185 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Boreham Wood
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 6-0 HT 3-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
14.10.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United FAK
30.04.2016 Welling United Welling United 0-3 HT 0-2 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
10.10.2015 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 2-0 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
0-1
AWAY Boreham Wood
31% Ball Possession 69%
2 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood edged past Welling United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Welling United had 31% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 69%, shots finished 2-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Welling United and 3.00 for Boreham Wood.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Boreham Wood?

Welling United 0-1 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Welling United 21%, draw 22%, Boreham Wood 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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