Boreham Wood 6-0 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 32% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 17%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.03/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.98
-44% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Welling United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-0 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United FAK
30.04.2016 Welling United Welling United 0-3 HT 0-2 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
10.10.2015 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 2-0 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İBSL
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood ran out comfortable winners over Welling United 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Boreham Wood and 0.00 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Welling United?

Boreham Wood 6-0 Welling United in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 54%, draw 23%, Welling United 22%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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