Worthing 1-0 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
9.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 25% vs market 19.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.92/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.62
+4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
17.02.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 1-4 HT 0-2 Worthing Worthing İCON
28.08.2023 Worthing Worthing 2-0 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
13.12.2022 Worthing Worthing 1-3 HT 1-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
19.11.2022 Worthing Worthing 4-2 HT 2-1 Weymouth Weymouth FAK
16.08.2022 Weymouth Weymouth 0-3 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
1-0
AWAY Weymouth
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing edged past Weymouth 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Worthing had 69% of the ball to Weymouth's 31%, shots finished 21-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Worthing had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Worthing and 1.17 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Weymouth?

Worthing 1-0 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Worthing 49%, draw 27%, Weymouth 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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