Truro City 2-1 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -24%
1.50/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.20
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Aveley
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.09.2024 Aveley Aveley 1-2 HT 1-1 Truro City Truro City İCON
21.10.2023 Aveley Aveley 1-1 HT 1-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
2-1
AWAY Aveley
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City nicked a narrow win over Aveley 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Truro City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Truro City had 45% of the ball to Aveley's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Truro City had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Truro City and 1.00 for Aveley.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Aveley?

Truro City 2-1 Aveley in the England - Conference on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Truro City 51%, draw 29%, Aveley 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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