Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Sep 2024

Weston-super-Mare
1-1 HT 1-1
Dorking Wanderers
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Weston-super-Mare v Dorking Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.56/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.49
+3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.6
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare and Dorking Wanderers shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers?

Weston-super-Mare 1-1 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 35%, draw 30%, Dorking Wanderers 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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