17/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Albenga vs Asti Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
42%
25%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albenga v Asti — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Albenga
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Asti
The Market 36%
+23% /
+23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+70%
/
+113%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
385 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
313 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Albenga vs Asti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Albenga and Asti couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Albenga at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Albenga vs Asti?
Albenga 1-1 Asti in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albenga vs Asti?
Before kick-off our model rated a Albenga win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Albenga 43%, draw 25%, Asti 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Albenga), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Albenga)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
17 Jan 2024