Crema 0-2 Desenzano Calvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
50%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crema The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Desenzano Calvina The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +72%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crema
0-2
AWAY Desenzano Calvina
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Crema vs Desenzano Calvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Desenzano Calvina saw off Crema 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Desenzano Calvina made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crema had 55% of the ball to Desenzano Calvina's 45%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Crema vs Desenzano Calvina?

Crema 0-2 Desenzano Calvina in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crema vs Desenzano Calvina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Desenzano Calvina win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Crema 33%, draw 31%, Desenzano Calvina 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Desenzano Calvina), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Desenzano Calvina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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