Pontisola 2-0 Tritium — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
36%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontisola The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tritium The Market 22%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.96
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -40%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontisola
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tritium
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
20.09.2023 Tritium Tritium 3-2 HT 3-1 Pontisola İTD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontisola
2-0
AWAY Tritium
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Pontisola vs Tritium
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontisola got the better of Tritium 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pontisola as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pontisola had 45% of the ball to Tritium's 55%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Pontisola vs Tritium?

Pontisola 2-0 Tritium in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontisola vs Tritium?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontisola win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pontisola 50%, draw 26%, Tritium 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontisola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontisola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
17 Jan 2024
16:30 Caldiero Terme vs Caravaggio Analysis →
16:30 Crema vs Desenzano Calvina Analysis →
16:30 Clivense vs Real Calepina Analysis →
16:30 Ligorna vs Bra Analysis →
16:30 Pinerolo vs Chisola Analysis →
16:30 Brusaporto vs Casateserogoredo Analysis →