Brusaporto 1-1 Casateserogoredo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
31%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
31%
Away Win
43%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brusaporto The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Casateserogoredo The Market 48%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+63% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brusaporto
1-1
AWAY Casateserogoredo
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Brusaporto vs Casateserogoredo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brusaporto and Casateserogoredo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Brusaporto had 57% of the ball to Casateserogoredo's 43%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Brusaporto vs Casateserogoredo?

Brusaporto 1-1 Casateserogoredo in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brusaporto vs Casateserogoredo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brusaporto win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brusaporto 37%, draw 32%, Casateserogoredo 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brusaporto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brusaporto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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