Caldiero Terme 3-0 Caravaggio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
50%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Caravaggio The Market 37%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.32/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/6.00
+10% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -81%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
3-0
AWAY Caravaggio
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs Caravaggio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldiero Terme cruised past Caravaggio 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Caldiero Terme made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 54% of the ball to Caravaggio's 46%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs Caravaggio?

Caldiero Terme 3-0 Caravaggio in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs Caravaggio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldiero Terme win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 39%, draw 32%, Caravaggio 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caldiero Terme) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caldiero Terme) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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