Castellanzese 2-0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
29%
4-5
32%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Castellanzese The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Ciserano Bergamo The Market 57%
+61% / +61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Castellanzese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.10.2021 Castellanzese 2-3 HT 0-2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo İTD
POST-MATCH Castellanzese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Castellanzese beat Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Ciserano Bergamo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Castellanzese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?

Castellanzese 2-0 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Castellanzese vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Castellanzese 26%, draw 25%, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 49%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Virtus Ciserano Bergamo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Ciserano Bergamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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