Chieri 2-0 Derthona 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 17 Jan 2024

📅17/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.16
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
23%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
44%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
82%
-28.5pp
24%
Draw
11%
+12.5pp
23%
Away Win
7%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chieri The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Derthona 1908 The Market 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
533 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 175 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chieri
2-0
AWAY Derthona 1908
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Chieri vs Derthona 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chieri beat Derthona 1908 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chieri as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chieri had 47% of the ball to Derthona 1908's 53%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Chieri vs Derthona 1908?

Chieri 2-0 Derthona 1908 in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chieri vs Derthona 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chieri win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chieri 53%, draw 24%, Derthona 1908 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chieri), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chieri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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