17/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Legnano vs Arconatese Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No Pick
63%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
32%
30%
Draw
25%
29%
Away Win
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Legnano v Arconatese — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Legnano
The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Arconatese
The Market 48%
+58% /
+58%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-63% /
-63%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
+63%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+16%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
4
360 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
325 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Legnano vs Arconatese Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Legnano
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Arconatese
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Legnano vs Arconatese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Legnano squeezed past Arconatese 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Legnano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Legnano vs Arconatese?
Legnano 1-0 Arconatese in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Legnano vs Arconatese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Legnano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Legnano 41%, draw 30%, Arconatese 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legnano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Legnano)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
İTD
More Italy - Serie D
17 Jan 2024