17/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Sanremese vs Voghera Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
41%
Home Win
64%
18%
Draw
23%
41%
Away Win
13%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sanremese v Voghera — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sanremese
The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
Voghera
The Market 16%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+74% /
+74%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-6%
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
373 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
277 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sanremese vs Voghera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sanremese beat Voghera 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 18% / 41% — and on the day Sanremese made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Sanremese vs Voghera?
Sanremese 2-0 Voghera in the Italy - Serie D on 17/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sanremese vs Voghera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sanremese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sanremese 41%, draw 18%, Voghera 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (41/18/41)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
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17 Jan 2024