Lecco 1-1 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Jan 2025

Lecco
1-1 HT 1-1
Novara
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.76
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -1%
1.42/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.38
+22% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Novara
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2024 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
11.02.2023 Lecco Lecco 3-1 HT 2-0 Novara Novara İTC
16.10.2022 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-2 Lecco Lecco İTC
07.03.2021 Novara Novara 3-0 HT 2-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
11.11.2020 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
19.01.2020 Lecco Lecco 3-2 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
1-1
AWAY Novara
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco and Novara shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lecco had 56% of the ball to Novara's 44%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecco had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lecco and 1.17 for Novara.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Novara?

Lecco 1-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lecco 40%, draw 28%, Novara 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lecco), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
17 Jan 2025
22:30 Pineto vs Ternana Analysis →
22:30 SSC Giugliano vs Audace Cerignola Analysis →