SSC Giugliano 1-3 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
27%
+12.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
46%
-11.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.65/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.74
+57% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
229 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 3-1 HT 0-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
07.05.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-1 HT 1-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
23.12.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
07.01.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
11.09.2022 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-0 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
1-3
AWAY Audace Cerignola
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola beat SSC Giugliano 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Audace Cerignola found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 42% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 58%, shots finished 5-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.40 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Audace Cerignola?

SSC Giugliano 1-3 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 40%, draw 26%, Audace Cerignola 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SSC Giugliano), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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