Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 17 Jan 2025

Western Sydney Wanderers
1-3 HT 0-1
Central Coast Mariners
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.86
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.56
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.74
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
7.83
X/X
11%
5.25
2/1
6%
22.1
2/2
12%
5.56
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · X/2 at 7.83 — our 18% vs market 9.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+11.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.66/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.53
+26% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
16.1 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 2.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
390 Passes 322
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.01.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
04.03.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
28.01.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-2 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
05.11.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
13.04.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
1-3
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
2.16 xG 2.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
369 Passes 404
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners beat Western Sydney Wanderers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Central Coast Mariners made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 49% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 51%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 2.16 to 2.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.50 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?

Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 39%, draw 24%, Central Coast Mariners 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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