Muharraq 3-2 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.44/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.82
+52% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-2 HT 1-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
09.03.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHKK
09.01.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-1 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHK
23.10.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
03.05.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
23.01.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
3-2
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq edged past Al Ahli Manama 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Muharraq had 55% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Muharraq and 1.00 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama?

Muharraq 3-2 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 42%, draw 24%, Al Ahli Manama 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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