Inter Turku 1-2 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.06 — our 27% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 29%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.81/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-47% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
1W-0D-5L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.17 xG 1.71
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
319 Passes 405
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
11.05.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
17.02.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
16.09.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
20.08.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-3 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
13.05.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
1-2
AWAY HJK Helsinki
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki nicked a narrow win over Inter Turku 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Turku at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Inter Turku had 51% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 49%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Inter Turku and 2.00 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki?

Inter Turku 1-2 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - League Cup on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 48%, draw 26%, HJK Helsinki 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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