HJK Helsinki 1-0 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.2
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
12%
5.26
X/2
11%
6.34
X/X
16%
4.84
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.17
2/X
7%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.35/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.62
+23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
18.9 Crosses 22.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.81 xG 1.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
431 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
17.02.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
16.09.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
20.08.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-3 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
13.05.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
22.02.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 4-0 HT 3-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
1-0
AWAY Inter Turku
1.29 xG 0.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
299 Passes 454
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki nicked a narrow win over Inter Turku 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; HJK Helsinki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 41% of the ball to Inter Turku's 59%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.29 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for HJK Helsinki and 1.33 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku?

HJK Helsinki 1-0 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 40%, draw 30%, Inter Turku 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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