FC Lahti 0-0 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 25 Aug 2024

FC Lahti
0-0 HT 0-0
VPS
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.41
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
11%
6.5
X/2
16%
5.0
X/X
11%
4.88
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
22%
3.05
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
1.41/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.79
+33% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
19.9 Crosses 21.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-1D-4L
AWAY VPS
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.24 xG 1.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 376
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 VPS VPS 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
18.08.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
05.04.2023 VPS VPS 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
28.09.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN
20.08.2022 VPS VPS 2-3 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
08.04.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-5 HT 0-3 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
0-0
AWAY VPS
0.63 xG 0.11
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
447 Passes 323
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti and VPS played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was VPS at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Lahti had 57% of the ball to VPS's 43%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 0.63 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Lahti and 2.33 for VPS.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs VPS?

FC Lahti 0-0 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 30%, draw 24%, VPS 46%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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