Lille vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lille v Nice — Team-Based Signals
Lille vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lille 2-1 Nice — Actual Match Statistics
Lille squeezed past Nice 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lille had 55% of the ball to Nice's 45%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.12 to 2.93 — on chances, Nice could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lille and 1.50 for Nice.
What was the final score of Lille vs Nice?
Lille 2-1 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lille vs Nice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lille 46%, draw 23%, Nice 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.