Club America 1-1 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒05:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.07
Over
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.8
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
22%
2.94
6+
11%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.8 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
38%
+9.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana The Market 39%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.33/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.21
-8% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.2 Crosses 13.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tijuana
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
345 Passes 361
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 2-2 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
24.10.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 2-2 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
14.01.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 0-2 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
05.11.2023 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
20.02.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
24.07.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
1-1
AWAY Tijuana
2.21 xG 0.64
31% Ball Possession 69%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 0
190 Passes 569
79% Pass Accuracy 91%
16 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club America vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America and Tijuana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Club America had 31% of the ball to Tijuana's 69%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.21 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Club America and 1.17 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of Club America vs Tijuana?

Club America 1-1 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Club America 48%, draw 26%, Tijuana 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club America), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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