Tijuana 2-2 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 32% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.22
1/2
11%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.96
X/2
14%
5.09
X/X
14%
4.67
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
17%
3.38
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.53/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.07
+24% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.5 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Club America
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
347 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 2-2 HT 1-1 Club America Club America MEK
14.01.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 0-2 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
05.11.2023 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
20.02.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
24.07.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
16.04.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 1-3 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
2-2
AWAY Club America
0.90 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
330 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana and Club America shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tijuana had 50% of the ball to Club America's 50%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.90 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tijuana and 2.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Club America?

Tijuana 2-2 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 32%, draw 26%, Club America 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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