Almeria 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Jan 2026

Almeria
1 - 2 HT 1 - 0
Deportivo La Coruna
📅17/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Almeria vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.39
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.39
6+
6%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.78
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.82
X/2
11%
7.41
X/X
16%
4.89
2/1
3%
24.45
2/2
15%
5.42
2/X
5%
14.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

Almeria v Deportivo La Coruna — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Almeria The Market 51%
Signal
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.70 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2

Almeria vs Deportivo La Coruna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
339 Passes 384
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2025 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
09.02.2025 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 HT 3-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
17.11.2024 Almeria Almeria 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
07.03.2020 Almeria Almeria 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
06.10.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
22.03.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2

Almeria 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
1 - 2
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.32 xG 2.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
399 Passes 371
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Almeria vs Deportivo La Coruna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Deportivo La Coruna nicked a narrow win over Almeria 2-1 on the road. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

A gentle 46% lean on Almeria didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Almeria had 52% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 48%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.32 to 2.41.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Almeria and 0.83 for Deportivo La Coruna.

Almeria vs Deportivo La Coruna Result & Final Score

Almeria 1 - 2 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Almeria vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Almeria 46%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Coruna 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Almeria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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