Arba Minch Kenema 0-2 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.32
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
50%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
26%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
27%
-9.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.8pp
50%
Away Win
41%
+8.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.4pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.56/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.01
-34% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mekelakeya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.04.2025 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya 1-0 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
29.11.2024 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema 1-3 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
0-2
AWAY Mekelakeya
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelakeya got the better of Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mekelakeya as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 43% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 57%, shots finished 3-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mekelakeya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arba Minch Kenema and 2.00 for Mekelakeya.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Arba Minch Kenema 0-2 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 17%, draw 33%, Mekelakeya 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mekelakeya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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