Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.26/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.21
+33% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
258 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 0-0 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
02.10.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 3-1 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
05.04.2024 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna 3-2 HT 2-0 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema ETH
05.01.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 1-2 HT 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopia Bunna
1-1
AWAY Awassa Kenema
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopia Bunna vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopia Bunna and Awassa Kenema shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Ethiopia Bunna had 45% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 55%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Bunna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ethiopia Bunna and 1.00 for Awassa Kenema.

What was the final score of Ethiopia Bunna vs Awassa Kenema?

Ethiopia Bunna 1-1 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopia Bunna vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopia Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ethiopia Bunna 40%, draw 32%, Awassa Kenema 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ethiopia Bunna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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