Kedus Giorgis 4-0 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
0.55/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.82
-45% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2025 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 0-0 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
18.01.2025 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-2 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
14.06.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0 HT 0-0 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis ETH
27.01.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 0-3 HT 0-3 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
4-0
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis swept aside Dire Dawa Kenema 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kedus Giorgis as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 45% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 55%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dire Dawa Kenema led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kedus Giorgis and 1.00 for Dire Dawa Kenema.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Kedus Giorgis 4-0 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 41%, draw 30%, Dire Dawa Kenema 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kedus Giorgis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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