Cliftonville 1-4 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.74
No
45%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.23
2-3
41%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.39
6+
10%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.5
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
17%
4.49
X/2
8%
8.28
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1
13%
24.0
2/2
9%
6.4
2/X
6%
14.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Cliftonville The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers The Market 28%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
2.23 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.26
0.79 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.68
Great Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
25.10.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
06.09.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
01.04.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
22.03.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
12.02.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
05.10.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
REVIEW Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Carrick Rangers swept aside Cliftonville 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Cliftonville carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cliftonville and 0.67 for Carrick Rangers.

Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers Result & Final Score

Cliftonville 1-4 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 55%, draw 24%, Carrick Rangers 21%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cliftonville) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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