Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.78
Over
46%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.96
2-3
44%
1.75
4-5
18%
3.66
6+
7%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.98
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.55
X/1
8%
4.82
X/2
17%
6.94
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.2
2/X
7%
14.2
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Dungannon Swifts The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.96 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.31
1.59 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.32
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
27.09.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
08.03.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
14.12.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
27.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
REVIEW Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dungannon Swifts saw off Ballymena United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 49%. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.76, about 57%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 0.67 for Ballymena United.

Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United Result & Final Score

Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 41%, draw 25%, Ballymena United 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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