Ballymena United 1-2 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
29%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
4.19
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
16%
5.9
X/2
14%
5.33
X/X
10%
4.53
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
9%
3.59
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
35%
+12.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
29%
Away Win
38%
-9.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 42%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.00/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.40
-18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
08.03.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
14.12.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
27.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
13.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts squeezed past Ballymena United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ballymena United and 1.83 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts?

Ballymena United 1-2 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 48%, draw 23%, Dungannon Swifts 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ballymena United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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