Ballymena United 0-2 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.73
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
31%
4.61
X/2
11%
7.13
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
8%
5.3
2/X
5%
14.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.61 — our 31% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
47%
+6.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.7pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
0.97/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.19
-31% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
14.12.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
27.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
13.01.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-4 HT 1-3 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
28.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts beat Ballymena United 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballymena United and 1.67 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts?

Ballymena United 0-2 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 54%, draw 21%, Dungannon Swifts 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ballymena United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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