Cliftonville 1-2 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.64
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
17%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.11
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
24%
4.12
X/2
5%
9.67
X/X
5%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.7
2/2
9%
7.67
2/X
8%
16.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
57%
+7.8pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.2pp
17%
Away Win
20%
-2.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
2.42/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.96
+40% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
19.04.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
09.02.2025 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-2 HT 1-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
14.12.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
11.08.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
01.03.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRK
14.02.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC nicked a narrow win over Cliftonville 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Cliftonville carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cliftonville and 1.00 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Portadown FC?

Cliftonville 1-2 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 65%, draw 18%, Portadown FC 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cliftonville) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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