Glenavon FC 0-2 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
12%
5.71
X/2
10%
5.42
X/X
9%
4.8
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
24%
3.58
2/X
8%
13.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.26/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.19
+0% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
244 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Crusaders FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
2 Total Shots 7
3 Corners 6
22.02.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
17.12.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
14.09.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
24.02.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
23.12.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
23.09.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC got the better of Glenavon FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.50 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Crusaders FC?

Glenavon FC 0-2 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 35%, draw 23%, Crusaders FC 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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