Coleraine FC 2-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.6
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.6
X/1
22%
3.83
X/2
5%
15.55
X/X
6%
7.09
2/1
7%
21.25
2/2
7%
13.1
2/X
6%
21.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
69%
-1.7pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.8pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.97/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.37
-15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.02.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
12.10.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 2-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
14.09.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
20.01.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
25.11.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
15.08.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC squeezed past Carrick Rangers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.33 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Coleraine FC 2-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 67%, draw 17%, Carrick Rangers 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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