Coleraine FC 5-1 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.25
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.43
Over
57%
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.05
No
51%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.83
2-3
44%
1.93
4-5
23%
2.66
6+
13%
6.78
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.83 — our 20% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1.4
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
24.85
X/1
19%
3.78
X/2
3%
23.55
X/X
5%
8.99
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
6%
20.8
2/X
3%
29.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Coleraine FC The Market 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC The Market 11%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
2.27 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.74
0.62 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.83
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Strong
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
450 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
09.01.2026 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 4-0 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRK
29.11.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
06.09.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-4 HT 0-3 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.05.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
19.04.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
18.01.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
REVIEW Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Coleraine FC overpowered Crusaders FC 5-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Coleraine FC and 0.83 for Crusaders FC.

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC Result & Final Score

Coleraine FC 5-1 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 75%, draw 13%, Crusaders FC 12%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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