Al Nassr vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al Shabab Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-5
HT 1-3
Al Nassr
SAKK
4-0
HT 3-0
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Shabab Riyadh
AŞMPL
Al Nassr 3-2 Al Shabab Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr squeezed past Al Shabab Riyadh 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Al Nassr had 60% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 40%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.42 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Nassr and 1.17 for Al Shabab Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Al Nassr 3-2 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 62%, draw 20%, Al Shabab Riyadh 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.