Hampton & Richmond 0-1 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.6
6+ Goals
7%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 34% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.6pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.6pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.24/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.17
-21% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hampton & Richmond
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aveley
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.08.2023 Aveley Aveley 3-0 HT 1-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hampton & Richmond
0-1
AWAY Aveley
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hampton & Richmond vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aveley squeezed past Hampton & Richmond 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Aveley made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Hampton & Richmond had 50% of the ball to Aveley's 50%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Hampton & Richmond vs Aveley?

Hampton & Richmond 0-1 Aveley in the England - Conference on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hampton & Richmond vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hampton & Richmond win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hampton & Richmond 41%, draw 21%, Aveley 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hampton & Richmond) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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