Belfort 3-2 Métropole Troyenne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
45%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No Pick
54%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
21%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
14%
+19.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.6pp
45%
Away Win
67%
-21.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belfort The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Métropole Troyenne The Market 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -89% / -89%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -23%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
212 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Belfort vs Métropole Troyenne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belfort edged past Métropole Troyenne 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Métropole Troyenne at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Belfort vs Métropole Troyenne?

Belfort 3-2 Métropole Troyenne in the France - National League 3 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belfort vs Métropole Troyenne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Métropole Troyenne win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Belfort 34%, draw 21%, Métropole Troyenne 45%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Métropole Troyenne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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