17/02/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Ivry vs Bastia II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
37%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
36%
30%
Draw
28%
31%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ivry v Bastia II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ivry
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bastia II
The Market 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
339 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
334 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ivry vs Bastia II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ivry edged past Bastia II 2-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Ivry found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Ivry vs Bastia II?
Ivry 2-1 Bastia II in the France - National League 3 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ivry vs Bastia II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ivry win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ivry 39%, draw 30%, Bastia II 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ivry) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ivry)
✗ Under 2.5
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
17 Feb 2024