Saint-Lo Manche 2-2 ASPTT Caen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
65%
-16.7pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.0pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Lo Manche The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY ASPTT Caen The Market 18%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/2.51
-38% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Saint-Lo Manche vs ASPTT Caen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Lo Manche and ASPTT Caen shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Saint-Lo Manche at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Saint-Lo Manche vs ASPTT Caen?

Saint-Lo Manche 2-2 ASPTT Caen in the France - National League 3 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Lo Manche vs ASPTT Caen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Lo Manche win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Saint-Lo Manche 48%, draw 26%, ASPTT Caen 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saint-Lo Manche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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