Saint-Nazaire AF 2-1 Les Sables — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
Over
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
27%
+12.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
45%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Nazaire AF The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Les Sables The Market 49%
+68% / +68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Saint-Nazaire AF vs Les Sables
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Nazaire AF squeezed past Les Sables 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Saint-Nazaire AF made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Saint-Nazaire AF vs Les Sables?

Saint-Nazaire AF 2-1 Les Sables in the France - National League 3 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Nazaire AF vs Les Sables?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Nazaire AF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Saint-Nazaire AF 39%, draw 30%, Les Sables 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Nazaire AF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Nazaire AF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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